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There is not much secret in how First Half lines are derived;
it is generally just the point spread for
the game cut in half with a half-point to full-point adjustment
against the favorite.
It is very easy to find a team's total points for and against for
the season as a total. Every newspaper and major sports website
provides this readily. What is tougher to find is a team's points
for and against broken out by first half and second half. I track
this myself every week in a spreadsheet and it helps because
interesting mismatches do appear. Remember that a team is playing
the same opponent in both half's of every game so even great and
horrible teams will have a stronger half.
Some teams get off to a quick start but fade while others start
slowly but finish strong. When you
compare two teams that are playing each other and see that one plays
better in the first half and
their opponent plays better in the second half, there may be an
opportunity to exploit the weakness
of the first half point spread. This is by no means a system, but it
is definitely something you can
easily do in a few minutes every week.
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